POLITICO’s final Election Forecast: Senate up for grabs, GOP on brink of House majority

Republicans have a grip on the House majority. But the Senate is firmly up for grabs.

That’s the topline of the final updates before Tuesday’s vote to POLITICO’s Election Forecast: The battle for the Senate is a “Toss Up,” while the House is “Likely Republican.” The first midterm election is historically a bear for the president’s party, and this year is expected to be no different. Republicans are likely to gain upward of 15 House seats, and they have a good shot of taking full control of Congress. But in many of the most consequential statewide races, Democrats are still in the hunt — thanks to their candidates’ strong fundraising and polls that show, for now, they are running ahead of President Joe Biden’s poor approval ratings.